Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.235653 0.267123 0.300709 0.339160 0.381903 0.427899 0.481077
2025-09-21 0.191829 0.233767 0.281364 0.339174 0.407267 0.484689 0.579140
2025-09-28 0.161018 0.208949 0.266308 0.339560 0.430126 0.537895 0.675258
2025-10-05 0.140048 0.192187 0.257571 0.344809 0.457267 0.596379 0.780369
2025-10-12 0.125288 0.180807 0.253406 0.354095 0.488729 0.660967 0.896124
2025-10-19 0.111292 0.168354 0.245929 0.357430 0.511579 0.714870 1.000451
2025-10-26 0.101065 0.159652 0.242184 0.364709 0.539254 0.775769 1.116520
2025-11-02 0.093468 0.153687 0.241342 0.375369 0.571557 0.843958 1.245366
2025-11-09 0.083670 0.143206 0.232736 0.373679 0.585557 0.886812 1.340549
2025-11-16 0.075397 0.134096 0.225150 0.372498 0.599612 0.929763 1.437208
2025-11-23 0.068113 0.125728 0.217809 0.370799 0.612273 0.970719 1.532247
2025-11-30 0.063656 0.121547 0.216609 0.378347 0.639111 1.033465 1.661765
2025-12-07 0.057897 0.114708 0.210779 0.378469 0.655060 1.081734 1.773812
2025-12-14 0.052823 0.108519 0.205452 0.378905 0.671359 1.131181 1.889905
2025-12-21 0.048338 0.102899 0.200552 0.379555 0.687822 1.181437 2.009328
2025-12-28 0.045121 0.099307 0.198860 0.385467 0.713172 1.246779 2.155213
2026-01-04 0.042823 0.097245 0.199703 0.395781 0.746389 1.326156 2.326771
2026-01-11 0.039853 0.093487 0.197043 0.399497 0.768244 1.387653 2.471630
2026-01-18 0.037684 0.091139 0.196814 0.407548 0.797989 1.463392 2.642800
2026-01-25 0.036114 0.089884 0.198559 0.419318 0.834867 1.552588 2.839757
2026-02-01 0.033192 0.085336 0.193383 0.417459 0.846767 1.599343 2.966680
2026-02-08 0.030599 0.081224 0.188708 0.416159 0.859459 1.647775 3.098070
2026-02-15 0.028189 0.077246 0.183949 0.414286 0.870820 1.694125 3.227367